|2020-03-03 来源： 中国石化新闻网|
中国石化新闻网讯 据3月2日Offshore Energy报道，国际能源咨询公司Xodus Group发布了一份新的分析报告，该报告表明能源市场需要快速转向天然气，以应对不断增长的能源需求。
王佳晶 摘译自 Offshore Energy
Xodus anticipates unprecedented decline in oil and coal, rise of gas
International energy consultancy Xodus Group has launched a new analysis showing that a rapid pivot to gas would be required to deal with rising global energy demand.
The company’s recent report claimed that approximately $20 trillion would need to be spent on natural gas exploration and production over the next 20 years.
The forecast would require significant advancements in technology to produce the gas responsibly, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) of the carbon dioxide produced.
The scenario also includes the phasing out of coal and oil in response to vehicle electrification and environmental pressures and a rapid and robust increase in renewable production.
Andrew Sewell, director of subsurface at Xodus Group, said: “We are anticipating an unprecedented decline in oil and coal, but even with energy from renewables modeled to the most aggressive increase, our analysis shows that a much more rapid pivot to gas is required to meet increased demand. Securing that gas sustainably by quickly enabling CCS and other decarbonization technologies must move further up the agenda of governments and industries around the world.”
Xodus predicts that crude oil and coal will decline to 1,500 mtoe per year and 1,200 mtoe per year respectively by 2040. Unconventional oil and other liquids are projected to increase over the entire period as is nuclear energy, assuming no major changes in policies.