|2020-06-12 来源： 中国石化新闻网|
李峻 编译自 天然气新闻
Gas market to experience 'largest demand shock on record' in 2020: IEA
The global gas market is expected to experience its "largest demand shock on record" in 2020, the International Energy Agency said June 10, with consumption set to fall 4% on the year as the coronavirus pandemic hits an already weakened market.
In its latest annual gas report, the IEA also said that while gas demand was expected to recover gradually in 2021, the medium-term impact of the virus would dent gas demand growth.
"As of early June, all major gas markets are experiencing a fall in demand or sluggish growth at best as is the case of China," the IEA said.
The agency said that although lockdown measures are being gradually lifted, its forecasts do not assume that economies will recover promptly, leading to 150 Bcm of lost demand this year, or a 4% decline.
The decline in demand has, though, been revised up from an initial estimate of 5% demand decline published at the end of April in the IEA's Global Energy Review.
"The magnitude of the impact remains however unprecedented," the IEA said.
"This would be the largest recorded annual decrease in consumption since the gas market developed at scale in the second half of the 20th century, and the drop would be twice bigger than the latest downturn in 2009, when demand fell by 2%," it said.
Preliminary estimates put the world's gas consumption in 2019 at around 3.99 trillion cu m, so a 4% decline would see demand slip back to around 3.83 Tcm.