|2020-09-21 来源： 中国石化新闻网|
曹海斌 摘译自 海事新闻
Global Demand for Marine Fuels to Fall by Up To 17%
Global demand for marine fuels is expected to fall by up to 17% due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on world trade, setting the stage for more consolidation among bunker suppliers, an industry executive told a conference on Wednesday.
Unni Einemo, director of the International Bunker Industry Association (IBIA), said firms were contending with low demand, low margins, ample supplies, increased counter-party risk, and constrained access to capital.
"Because of that we might expect further consolidation through mergers and acquisitions or attrition," Einemo told the conference, adding that some firms could be forced to quit the market.
"Global bunker demand is expected to decrease significantly in 2020, even if it had held up quite well (in April and May)," Einemo said.
IBIA's members forecast a 7%-17% drop in bunker fuel demand globally in 2020, she said.
Global marine fuel demand is estimated at about 300 million tonnes per annum, or about 5.2 million barrels per day (mbpd).
In its latest report released on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency said "fuel oil demand, which includes marine bunker as well as power generation and industrial uses, is forecast to decline by only 0.4 mbpd, or 6.3% in 2020," the IEA said in its monthly report on Tuesday.
By comparison, premium transport fuels which include jet fuel, diesel and gasoline, are forecast to have lost about 7.4 mbpd, or 11.6%, of demand in 2020, according to the IEA.