|2021-01-11 来源： 中国石化新闻网|
GlobalData石油和天然气分析师John Paul Somavarapu表示：“原油价格的突然下跌明显影响了北美生产商的计划投资，他们现在需要在保持长期收益的同时有效地加快投资步伐。GlobalData预计，企业将会降低运营成本和资本支出，并专注于较少的资本密集型投资，以便在市场复苏之际站稳脚跟。”
曹海斌 摘译自 烃加工在线
GlobalData: North American petrochemical producers might see long-term cost advantage by reducing CAPEX for 2021
The shale gas advantage of North American petrochemical majors provides a boost for investments in the region, primarily in the US. However, the oil price crash narrowed this advantage and is likely to affect profitability. North American petrochemical majors that strive to pace investments efficiently, in line with market trends, will boost their competitiveness and seize further opportunities for growth over the long-term, says GlobalData.
John Paul Somavarapu, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, commented: “The sudden decline in crude oil prices have distinctly affected the planned investments by the North American producers and they now need to efficiently pace investments while preserving long-term gains. GlobalData expects companies to lower their operating expenses and capital expenditures and focus on less capital intense investments to position themselves well while the market recovers.”
The pandemic and the resulting impact on feedstock costs have prompted petrochemical majors in North America to announce project delays. The progress of under-construction projects was also affected due to limitations in the movement of contract personnel and travel restrictions. Petrochemical capacity additions in North America are largely concentrated in the US, leveraging low-cost feedstock through the abundant supply of ethane from shale. The US has around 27.2 million tpy of petrochemical capacity under construction. It is followed by Canada, which is a distant second with 3.2 million tpy.
Somavarapu continued: “The global petrochemical industry is experiencing a paradigm shift, and feedstock options, demand patterns, government policies, and so on will play a pivotal role. North America, particularly the US, is at a greater advantage when considering these factors in the longer term.”
The demand for polymers in North America in 2020 was affected due to weaker demand in end markets such as automotive and construction. However, as the global economy progresses towards a gradual recovery, and industrial and business activities are slated to return to normal, demand for polymers is set to strengthen and will likely reach pre-COVID levels in the medium- to long-term.
Somavarapu added: “Producers should remain flexible and manage near-term constraints to reap benefits in the mid-long term. The US, being one of the largest producers and supplier of petrochemicals globally, will look forward to seizing the right opportunities for growth.”